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If the RBA’s right, interest rates may not fall for another year. Here’s why – and what it means for next week’s budget

  • Written by Peter Martin, Visiting Fellow, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University

The Reserve Bank is now assuming Australians will see no interest rate cuts this year – and quite possibly none before the next federal election, due next May.

That’s a big change compared to just three months ago. Back in February, the Reserve Bank assumed three rate cuts before the middle of the next year.

Its newly-updated...

2025 Thryv Business and Consumer Report - Australian small businesses show grit under pressure

Australia’s small businesses are powering ahead with optimism, resilience and discipline, however, mounting pressures on costs, wellbeing and cons...

Security by Default: Why 2026 Will Force Organisations to Rethink Cloud and AI

financial accountability to how they run cloud and AI, according to leading Australian systems integrator, Brennan. Based on customer insights...

UNSW launches plan to help Aussie startups scale overseas

UNSW Launches Global Innovation Foundry to Scale 100 Australian Startups Internationally New initiative provides startups and spinouts with direc...

Payroll Under Pressure: Why Mid-Sized SMEs Struggle to Keep Pay Accurate

A year after wage theft reforms came into effect, Australian businesses have increased their focus on payroll compliance, but confidence in pay accu...

Refunds to Revenue: AI and loyalty perks help retailers in post-holiday hangover

Australian retailers are turning to artificial intelligence to simplify and automate returns and exchanges, while strengthening loyalty programs a...

Stop reading from the script: Why authenticity is the customer success secret weapon

I’ve been in customer service for years now. As my team has grown, the number one piece of advice I give is to be your...