What is an inverting yield curve and does it mean we're heading for a recession?
- Written by Luciano Rispoli, Teaching Fellow in Economics, University of Surrey

One key predictor of downturns in the economy is what is known as the yield curve. This typically refers to the market for what the US government borrows, by issuing bonds and other securities that mature over different time horizons ranging from weeks to 30 years.
Each of these securities has its own yield (or interest...