Business Daily Media

Men's Weekly

.

Russia's war on Ukraine is driving up wheat prices and threatens global supplies of bread, meat and eggs

  • Written by David Ubilava, Senior Lecturer of Economics, University of Sydney
Russia's war on Ukraine is driving up wheat prices and threatens global supplies of bread, meat and eggs

Russia and Ukraine between them account for almost a quarter[1] of the world’s wheat exports.

Russia and Ukraine are also big exporters of maize (corn), barley, and other grains that much of the world relies on to make food.

Wheat alone accounts for an estimated 20%[2] of human calorie consumption.

Since the start of February, as war became more likely, the grains and oilseed price index[3] compiled by the International Grains Council has jumped 17%.

The big drivers have been jumps of 28% in the price of wheat[4], 23% in the price of maize[5] and 22% in the price of barley[6].

Russia and Ukraine account for one fifth[7] of the world’s barley exports. Maize is a common substitute for wheat and barley.

Russia and Ukraine are also enormous producers of sunflower oil, between them accounting for around 70%[8] of global exports.

Among the world’s biggest wheat importers are Egypt[9], along with its North African neighbours Algeria and Nigeria, one of the world’s poorest[10] nations.

Indonesia, Turkey and the Philippines are also big importers.

Supplies from Russia might come through – and Russia is in desperate need[11] of foreign exchange. But Ukraine’s ports are closed, transport infrastructure is disrupted and might not be working when harvest season begins in July, and barley planting would normally begin about now.

Sudden shortages and price hikes will hit poor countries and their poorest citizens hard. Low income households spend far more of their income on staples[12] such as bread than high income households.

The effects will flow through to meat and egg prices, as cereal grains are used as feed of livestock and poultry production.

Read more: How Russia-Ukraine conflict could influence Africa's food supplies[13]

Throughout history, violence and unrest have flowed from hikes in commodity prices. Egypt[14] was racked with bread riots and rationing in 2017. Kazakhstan[15] suffered massive protests in January after a spike in liquefied gas prices.

Humanitarian organisations are set to face greater calls for food aid, which will be more expensive to provide.

Fortunately, the big southern hemisphere wheat producers, Australia and Argentina, have produced bumper crops[16].

Read more: How the war in Ukraine will affect food prices[17]

The value of Australian wheat production is set to hit an all-time high[18].

But food supply chains and global stability are certain to be tested.

It will take a village to stop this war and mitigate its repercussions. The rich and powerful of the village should do all they can to hold it together.

References

  1. ^ a quarter (oec.world)
  2. ^ 20% (www.researchgate.net)
  3. ^ price index (www.igc.int)
  4. ^ wheat (oec.world)
  5. ^ maize (oec.world)
  6. ^ barley (oec.world)
  7. ^ one fifth (oec.world)
  8. ^ 70% (oec.world)
  9. ^ Egypt (oec.world)
  10. ^ poorest (theconversation.com)
  11. ^ desperate need (theconversation.com)
  12. ^ staples (nutritionj.biomedcentral.com)
  13. ^ How Russia-Ukraine conflict could influence Africa's food supplies (theconversation.com)
  14. ^ Egypt (www.middleeasteye.net)
  15. ^ Kazakhstan (www.detailedpedia.com)
  16. ^ bumper crops (daff.ent.sirsidynix.net.au)
  17. ^ How the war in Ukraine will affect food prices (theconversation.com)
  18. ^ all-time high (daff.ent.sirsidynix.net.au)

Authors: David Ubilava, Senior Lecturer of Economics, University of Sydney

Read more https://theconversation.com/russias-war-on-ukraine-is-driving-up-wheat-prices-and-threatens-global-supplies-of-bread-meat-and-eggs-178879

Minns Labor Government shutting down the Business Connect program

The NSW Opposition is concerned that the Labor government will shut down a support program that has assisted New South Wales businesses. In a media ...

Samsara Eco appoints Dr. Lars Kissau as General Manager for Asia

Australian biotech innovator Samsara Eco has announced the appointment of Dr Lars Kissau as its first General Manager of Asia. Based in Singapore...

From the first bounce to the final siren - small business lessons from the AFL Grand Final

The AFL Grand Final is one of the most anticipated days on the sporting calendar. This Saturday, the Geelong Cats and Brisbane Lions will battle i...

Australia’s top finance leaders recognised as CFO role expands

Amid surging regulatory demands and rapidly evolving industry, Australia’s most influential Chief Financial Officers will be honoured at the inaug...

Why outdated security leaves small businesses exposed to crime

Small and medium businesses in Australia are under increasing pressure to address security gaps that criminals readily exploit. An unlocked door, an...

Why it’s time telcos rethink location and put customer experience first

Maurice Zicman, Vice President - CX Strategy at TP in Australia unpacks why the telco industry must rethink old assumptions and focus on digital-f...