KPMG Survey on Private and Recent IPO Company Outlook

September 04, 2024 9:30 AM EDT | Source: KPMG LLP^[1]

• Private companies and those that recently conducted an initial public offering (IPO) are very optimistic about their future growth prospects. Company leaders report cybersecurity threats and a slowdown in innovation as top risks to growth.
• Leaders report AI is the main growth enabler, with its importance expected to grow over time, but just 54% of companies surveyed report taking at least adequate actions on risk and compliance governance.
• Nearly seven in 10 finance leaders anticipate an increase in M&A activity, while 58% of emerging giants indicate they are ready to issue an IPO.
• Beyond financial statements, finance leaders indicate reporting and disclosures on cybersecurity risk as most relevant to their business, followed by ethical use of AI.

New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - September 4, 2024) - Nearly 90% of leaders across US-based private companies and those who recently went public show strong optimism about their future growth prospects, according to a new study released today by KPMG LLP, the US audit, tax, and advisory firm.

These companies are most focused on avoiding a slowdown in innovation and keeping up with artificial intelligence (AI) over the next 18 months. Leaders report AI is the top growth enabler, but they are split on whether AI is a game-changer or a way to level the playing field. Their top concerns regarding growth over the next three years include cybersecurity threats, a potential economic recession and increasing energy costs.

"Private and newly public companies are harnessing AI to disrupt their sector and drive growth," said Scott Flynn, KPMG US Vice Chair - Audit. "Private company risks, including cybersecurity, the ethical use and deployment of AI, and increasing energy costs, are directly connected to this AI focus, elevating the need for trust."

With interest rate cuts on the horizon, market participants are anticipating increased deal activity, private equity (PE) exits and deployment of investment dollars that will shake up the private company landscape.

To understand these dynamics, KPMG US surveyed over 600 leaders of venture capital (VC)- and PE-backed, US-based companies, including those that are traditionally private, emerging giants (those with plans to go public in the next five years), and recent IPOs (those that went public in the last five years).

Key takeaways from the survey include:

72% of leaders of private and recently public companies say they feel prepared to capitalize on major growth opportunities today.

FLYNN: "Private company leaders are contending with a mix of short- and long-term risks. Adopting AI with strong data management and trust at the forefront will help companies more effectively navigate this era of compound volatility."

• 86% of respondents are optimistic about their future growth prospects in the short-term (next 18 months), while 87% are optimistic about their future growth prospects in the medium-term (18 months to 3 years).
• In both the short-term and medium-term, companies view a potential slowdown in innovation and technological advances (55% compared to 51%) and cybersecurity threats (53% compared to 48%) as the top disruptor concerns for growth.
  • Inflation (52%) and acquiring and retaining talent (52%) are additional short-term concerns. Comparatively, respondents are more worried about increasing energy costs (50%) and a potential recession (48%) hindering growth in the medium-term.
• AI is viewed as the top enabler of growth and investment in company sectors by far, with nearly half (46%) ranking it in the top three, followed by 5G, Internet of Things (IoT) and cloud computing.
• Outside of AI, companies see advanced data analytics (36%), global competition (29%), emerging startups and disruptors introducing new innovative products (29%) and cross-industry convergence (29%) as the biggest disruptors over the next 18 months. In the medium-term, data analytics (33%) and government incentives that can spur growth (32%) are the top two sector disruptors.
• Geopolitical issues also remain top of mind, especially with traditionally private and recent IPO companies. Overall, 52% of companies report supply chain disruptions are significant threats to growth over the next few years, followed by cybersecurity threats from state actors or state-sponsored actors (47%) and dependence on supplies and materials from other countries (47%).

Companies are prioritizing AI, especially recent IPOs, with leaders reporting that AI's importance will grow over the medium-term. However, companies are split on whether AI is a game-changer or a leveler of the playing field.

CHADWICK: "Private companies are laser-focused on adopting AI, but must be mindful of risks, governance and talent. AI's importance is only going to grow, and having effective guardrails as you accelerate your transformation will help avoid pitfalls." - Francois Chadwick, KPMG Global Emerging Giants Leader, Partner - Tax

• AI's relevance to company strategy is anticipated to grow substantially over time, with over half (55%) seeing it as very relevant in the near-term, and three-fourths seeing AI as relevant in the medium-term.
  • Companies are more likely to see significant opportunities (72%) than challenges (58%) with AI over the medium-term. 
• Companies are divided on whether AI is leveling the playing field (47%) or is a game changer that provides early adopting innovators and disruptors with a significant competitive advantage (53%).
• A majority foresee AI playing an important role in customer relationship management in both the next two years (62%) and next two to five years (60%), followed closely by financial analysis and reporting and supply chain optimization.
• The main challenges companies anticipate regarding the implementation of AI include data management and infrastructure (48%), followed by governance and compliance (43%), talent and skills (43%) and ethical use of AI (43%).
• While 54% of respondents have implemented at least adequate risk and compliance governance measures, only 23% are taking proactive and robust actions.
• The findings vary by type of company:
  • Recent IPOs are the most optimistic about AI opportunities in the medium-term (77%), followed by traditional private companies (73%) and emerging giants (67%).
  • Traditional private companies are most likely to view AI as a game-changer (56%) but are more likely to report significant challenges with AI adoption in the medium-term (69% compared to 58%, overall).
  • Recent IPOs are most concerned with ethical use and responsible implementation of AI (48%), while emerging giants are more likely to cite talent and skills (51%) as their main challenge.
  • Emerging giants are more likely to report taking adequate or robust efforts on risk and compliance governance (58% compared to 56% for recent IPOs and 47% for traditional privates) and are far more likely to be collaborating with industry experts on risk mitigation strategies (55% compared to 42%, overall).

Nearly seven in 10 companies anticipate an increase in deals in the next 18 months but concern about the impact of several market disruptors on their company's growth remains.

MAGER: "Private companies are ready for a shift in the deal market with all eyes on interest rate expectations. Many are taking steps to prepare for a public listing, so we know the pipeline is full, we just need a couple of bellwether IPOs to lead the way." - Shari Mager, KPMG US Capital Markets Readiness Leader, Partner - Advisory

• Nearly seven in 10 companies are projecting an increase in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) deal activity over the next 18 months.
  • Recent IPOs (76%) are especially bullish compared to traditional privates (65%) and emerging giants (60%).
  • Industrial manufacturing and energy, natural resources and chemicals reported the highest expectations for deal activity in the next 18 months among companies surveyed (81% and 75%, respectively). In a KPMG survey of 200 industrial manufacturing (IM) C-suite executives about their M&A expectations for 2024, IM was one of the top three areas pinpointed as targets for transactions. Separately, in addition an increase in consolidation and asset acquisition across energy, as part of the efforts to reduce carbon emissions, renewable energy saw a notable increase in investments in Q1, with an enhanced focus on solar assets^[1].
• 58% of emerging giants feel ready to issue an IPO, while 41% say they are somewhat ready.
• PE-backed companies are more concerned about disruptions in the medium-term compared to VC-backed companies. This could be due to a number of factors, including PE-backed companies being more mature and investors being more mindful of investments and thinking through external variables including interest rates, the upcoming election, available capital and more. Portfolio Companies of those PE firms would then also be affected by the concerns of their stakeholders/investors.
  • 50% of PE-backed companies are very concerned about a potential economic recession, compared to 41% of VC-backed firms.
  • 47% of PE-backed companies are very concerned about severe weather events due to climate change, compared to 35% of VC-backed firms.

Beyond financial statements, cybersecurity risk is ranked as the most relevant area of reporting to private companies, followed closely by ethical use of AI.

FLYNN: "Reporting expectations are always evolving. Regulatory requirements may vary for private companies compared to public, but it's important to understand the expectations of stakeholders to build trust through reporting."

• Looking beyond financial statements, 66% of respondents rank cybersecurity risk as the most relevant area of reporting or disclosures across sectors, followed by ethical use of AI (61%). This trend is especially true of recent IPO companies, 70% of which believe cybersecurity risk is relevant to their reporting.
• Nearly six in 10 companies believe sustainability reporting has value beyond meeting regulatory requirements, specifically in adding value for investors and other stakeholders.

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About the KPMG US Survey - Disruption Decoded: Perspectives on Growth, AI, and Reporting from Private and Newly-Public CompaniesDesigned to understand the outlook for growth and disruption dynamics for different types of private companies and recent IPOs, the KPMG study, Disruption Decoded: Perspectives on Growth, AI, and Reporting from Private and Newly-Public Companies, surveyed 621 VP+ executives and financial function leaders of VC-backed (pre-seed - Series E), PE-backed and family office-backed businesses in the US. The survey was fielded May 29 - June 10, 2024, and includes three company profile types:

• Emerging Giants: Private companies planning to go public in the next five years. Includes pre-revenue companies.
• Traditional Privates: Companies that do not plan to go public in the next five years and have at least $100M in revenue.
• Recent IPOs: Companies that went public in the last five years and have at least $100M in revenue.

About KPMG LLPKPMG LLP is the US firm of the KPMG global organization of independent professional services firms providing audit, tax and advisory services. The KPMG global organization operates in 143 countries and territories and has more than 273,000 people working in member firms around the world. Each KPMG firm is a legally distinct and separate entity and describes itself as such. KPMG International Limited is a private English company limited by guarantee. KPMG International Limited and its related entities do not provide services to clients.

KPMG is widely recognized for being a great place to work and build a career. Our people share a sense of purpose in the work we do, and a strong commitment to community service, inclusion and diversity and eradicating childhood illiteracy. Learn more at www.kpmg.com/us^[2].

^[1] Resilience despite uncertainties: M&A trends in energy, natural resources, and chemicals; https://kpmg.com/kpmg-us/content/dam/kpmg/pdf/2024/resilience-despite-uncertainties.pdf^[3]

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/221983^[4]

SOURCE: KPMG LLP^[5]

References

1. ^{^} KPMG LLP (www.newsfilecorp.com)
2. ^{^} www.kpmg.com/us (api.newsfilecorp.com)
3. ^{^} Resilience despite uncertainties: M&A trends in energy, natural resources, and chemicals; https://kpmg.com/kpmg-us/content/dam/kpmg/pdf/2024/resilience-despite-uncertainties.pdf (api.newsfilecorp.com)
4. ^{^} https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/221983 (api.newsfilecorp.com)
5. ^{^} KPMG LLP (www.newsfilecorp.com)